Electric Vehicle Charging Load Forecasting based on Monte Carlo

Inhalt:
Based on the comparison of the characteristics of conventional electric load forecasting methods, the prediction model of electric vehicle charging load is established by using the four influencing factors of electric vehicle operation law, daily mileage, ownership and charging law. The steps of solving the model by Monte Carlo simulation are introduced in detail. In the example, the electric vehicles are divided into private cars, taxis and buses. According to their characteristics, load forecasting is carried out respectively. Finally, the total electric vehicle charging load of Xuzhou in 2022 is obtained. Finally, the adjustment strategy to reduce the charging load is proposed.