A Systematic Study on Forecasting of Traffic Flows with Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract:
Traffic flow is highly dynamic and complex to foresee, therefore it offers an interesting application domain for Organic Computing. Most traffic management systems try to adapt their traffic signalisation to the current traffic flow patterns, but for an optimal and fast adaptation, traffic flow forecasts are needed. A resilient traffic management system needs the ability to forecast traffic flows in order to pro-actively adapt the signalisation with the goal to decrease or even prevent negative impacts on the traffic network. Artificial Neural Networks have shown to be a powerful tool in forecasting traffic flows. This paper investigates a systematic study of Artificial Neural Networks and presents which variants and parameter settings are most profitable in which situations.