Joint Modeling of Device Load and User Intention

Abstract:
In this paper, we present a concept for the joint modeling of the device load and user intention. It consists of two coupled models, a device load model to characterize the power consumption of the electric device of interest and a user intention model for describing the user intentions which cause the energy consumption. The advantage of this joint model is the ability to predict the device load from the user intention and to reconstruct the user intention from the measured device load. This opens a new way for studying load simulation and prediction, energy saving by user cooperations, load-dependent energy generation in smart grids etc. from the perspective of users instead of devices.